Bosnia Returns the Same Ethnic Parties as Turnout Falls to a Record Low and Dodik Claims a Victory From Off the Ballot
Preliminary results show Becirovic, Cvijanovic and a new Croat member taking the presidency, with fewer than 42 per cent of voters bothering to cast a ballot. Coalition talks could last for months.
Tuesday, October 6, 2026/2 min read

Bosnia and Herzegovina voted on Sunday, and by Tuesday morning the preliminary count says the same thing it has said for years: the ethnic parties that run the country are still the ones people vote for, even as fewer of them turn up to do it.
Turnout was 41.5 per cent, down from 51.5 per cent in 2022, according to the Central Election Commission figures reported by blue News. TRT World puts the fall at nearly ten percentage points, or about 319,000 fewer ballots from an electorate of 3.4 million. The results are preliminary, and none of them has been certified.
Who won the Bosnia presidency?
The country is led collectively by a three-member presidency, one Bosniak, one Croat and one Serb. In the Bosniak seat, Denis Becirovic of the Social Democrats kept his job with 38.1 per cent, ahead of Bakir Izetbegovic of the SDA on 34 per cent, blue News reports. European Western Balkans notes that Izetbegovic conceded and congratulated him. Becirovic said the country's path toward the EU and NATO "must be resolutely continued".
In the Serb seat, Zeljka Cvijanovic of Milorad Dodik's SNSD was re-elected with about 55 per cent, well ahead of Marinko Bozovic of the SDS. In the Croat seat, Darijana Filipovic of the HDZ BiH won with 48.2 per cent over the Social Democrat Slaven Kovacevic on 28.8 per cent. She is the only new face on the presidency and succeeds Zeljko Komsic.
What happened to Milorad Dodik's party?
Dodik was not on the ballot. He was removed as president of Republika Srpska last year over separatist activities, and he was still the loudest voice in the campaign. His SNSD took about 39 per cent in the Republika Srpska parliamentary vote, up from 34.6 per cent in 2022, according to blue News, and its candidate Savo Minic won the entity's presidency, 202,245 votes to 160,935 for Branko Blanusa in the commission's first count. Blanusa conceded on election night.
Dodik declared a sweep at every level. TRT World says he repeated his demand for a return to the "original Dayton" settlement, with Republika Srpska controlling its own armed forces, border police, intelligence services and indirect taxation.
In the Federation, the picture was less tidy. The SDA led the preliminary count for the state parliament even though its leader lost the presidential race, with the Social Democrats third behind the SNSD, Daily Sabah reports. Its seat projections, 9 for the SDA, 6 for the SNSD and 5 for the Social Democrats out of 42, are not official allocations.
What happens next in Bosnia?
This was the first election in which the country used biometric voter identification and ballot scanners. European Western Balkans says equipment problems closed some polling stations temporarily or extended voting hours, while TRT World reports that the commission's chairman, Jovan Kalaba, said preliminary returns arrived within an hour of polls closing.
Official results are due by 20 November, according to Al Jazeera's election explainer, and forming governments under the power-sharing rules usually takes months. Adnan Kapo of the Institute for Geopolitics, Economy and Security in Sarajevo told Daily Sabah it was "difficult to expect fundamental changes". Bosnia has been an EU candidate since December 2022, and the same blocs that have slowed the reforms Brussels asks for are about to start bargaining again.
Published in The Outspoken Digest
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