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Gold Sinks to $3,881 and Silver to $50.04 as a 19-Month-High Dollar and December Hike Bets Extend the Slide

Spot gold lost almost 3% on Thursday to its weakest in more than a week and silver slipped below $50.1, as traders priced a December rate rise at roughly 90% and the dollar index held near 102.85.

Outspoken Digest Markets Desk

Thursday, November 12, 2026/2 min read

A close view of a rectangular gold ingot with a stamped serial number, photographed on 27 September 2009, a file photograph illustrative of gold bullion and not of any particular bar, vault or market
Photo: Szaaman via Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)

Gold spent Thursday morning proving that a safe haven is only as safe as the interest rate behind it. Spot gold was quoted at $3,880.80 an ounce, down $106.20 or 2.66 percent, and silver at $50.04, down $1.51 or 2.92 percent, on Kitco's price page at 11:52 am Eastern (16:52 UTC). It is the weakest gold has been in more than a week.

The slide extends the break below $4,000 that we reported at the start of the day, when gold was near $3,973 and traders were already pricing a December Fed hike. The session is still open, so these are live quotes, not settlements.

How far has gold fallen on Thursday?

In early US trading Kitco had gold at $3,890.46, down $97.11 or 2.38 percent, and silver at $50.186, down $1.449 or 2.80 percent. Fortune's morning snapshot at 8:55 am Eastern showed gold at $3,891, down $140 or 3.47 percent from $4,031 at the same time on Wednesday, with silver at $50. Earlier, at about 13:21 UTC, investingLive had gold near $3,935.83, down 1.30 percent, and silver near $50.88, so the biggest part of the decline came after that reading.

Kitco's 11:52 am quote also had platinum at $1,518, down 0.85 percent, and palladium at $983, down 2.96 percent. All four precious metals were lower.

Why are gold and silver falling?

The pressure is rates and the dollar. The dollar index was near 102.85 after reaching a 19-month high, and the 10-year Treasury yield was about 5.00 percent with the two-year near 4.76 percent, according to Kitco. Gold pays no interest, so higher yields make it costlier to hold.

Fed funds futures implied roughly 88 to 91 percent odds of a quarter-point hike at the 8 to 9 December meeting, with a smaller chance of half a point, Kitco said. October inflation rose 0.4 percent on the headline and 0.3 percent on the core measure, and payrolls added 165,000 jobs with unemployment at 4.1 percent. Weekly jobless claims came in at 200,000 against about 195,000 expected, which Kitco read as a labour market that is still resilient.

What price levels are traders watching in gold?

Kitco listed support at $3,919.18 and $3,896.00, both already broken by the 11:52 am quote, and resistance at $3,944.00 and $3,948.98. With support gone, a bounce would first need to reclaim the mid-$3,900s before it counted as more than a pause. Kitco labelled its article as AI-assisted with editor review, and the price figures are corroborated by Fortune and investingLive within the timing differences above.

The next signals are more data and the long wait to the December meeting. If the dollar and yields keep climbing, the metals have little to lean on; a pause in either would give gold its first reason to stabilise this week.

Published in The Outspoken Digest

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Outspoken Digest Markets Desk

Reports for The Outspoken Digest across Business, Crypto.

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