Trump Puts the Kansas and Iowa Rallies Back on for Sunday as More Than 43 Million Americans Have Already Voted

Iowa Republicans were plainly unhappy. One GOP operative told NBC an in-person rally would have been really helpful; another said the state was in pretty good shape but he would love to have the president. Trump has headlined 25 rallies in October and says he will visit 35 places before Tuesday. On Friday he is due in Daytona Beach for Representative Randy Fine and Senator Ashley Moody, both in races the Cook Political Report rates solidly Republican. A Vice President JD Vance event in St. Cloud, Minnesota, was cancelled for scheduling reasons, the AP said.

How many people have voted early?

More than 43 million by Thursday night, according to the University of Florida Election Lab figures cited by the BBC, with four to five million ballots arriving each day. In the roughly half of states that record party registration, Democrats account for 44 percent of early ballots, Republicans 31.2 percent and unaffiliated voters 24.7 percent; registration is not a vote, and Republicans have historically voted in larger numbers on the day itself. Texas, which records neither party nor race, has already passed its entire 2022 early total by about 1.75 million voters, with more than 5.8 million ballots cast.

The 2022 midterm early vote finished at 45.9 million, a mark this cycle is on course to pass over the weekend. The Justice Department's late lawsuits in Alaska and California, which we have covered separately, sit over all of it.

Sunday's two rallies give Trump a final in-person argument in the two Senate races that could decide the chamber. Whether a presidential visit moves a toss-up in the last 48 hours, or merely confirms which seats the party is worried about, is the question Tuesday answers.