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Israel's Vote Count Leaves Netanyahu's Bloc Short of 61 as Eisenkot Urges Him to Concede

With 84 percent counted, no camp has a majority in the Knesset, turnout is the highest since 1999, and the slow tally of soldiers' and special ballots could still move the final seats.

Outspoken Digest News Desk

Wednesday, October 28, 2026/3 min read

The long, pale-stoned Knesset building in Jerusalem behind a fence and a road under a bright blue sky, photographed on 5 July 2018, a file photograph of the parliament building and not of this week's count
Photo: Gary Todd from Xinzheng, China via Wikimedia Commons (CC0)

Israel woke on Wednesday to an election that has not yet decided anything. With 84 percent of the vote counted, Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc was on course for about 54 of the 120 Knesset seats and Gadi Eisenkot's alliance for about 49, with Arab parties on about 17, according to Al Jazeera's count of the night. A majority needs 61, and neither camp is close.

It is the picture the exit polls hinted at on Tuesday night, when the main channels showed the two blocs level at 51 seats each. Likud was the largest single party in every survey, at around 27 seats, with Eisenkot's Yashar on about 21. The count since has been moving, slowly, toward the incumbent.

What do the Israel election results show so far?

The early hours were kinder to the prime minister than the later ones. Ynetnews carried a count at 41 percent of votes in which Netanyahu's bloc stood at 57 seats, then one at 48 percent in which it had slipped to 55, and the 84 percent figure has it at 54. Those are partial numbers, and the Central Elections Committee itself warned that they may change as counting and verification continue.

Turnout was 77.7 percent, the highest since 1999 and up 7.1 points on 2022, Al Jazeera reported. The Arab parties, on about 17 seats against 10 now, are the clearest gainers. Both Netanyahu and Eisenkot have previously ruled out a coalition that relies on them, which narrows each man's path.

A lot of ballots are still outstanding. Ynetnews said more than 650,000 special ballots, cast by soldiers, diplomats and patients away from their home polling stations, needed separate counting, and that the tally could run until Friday morning. Parties near the 3.25 percent threshold could also tip a seat or two between camps.

Is Netanyahu claiming victory, and will Eisenkot concede?

Neither is conceding. The Times of Israel's live blog logged Netanyahu claiming that his bloc had won a decisive majority among the Zionist public, which sets Jewish parties apart from the Arab ones, and Eisenkot urging him in the small hours to accept defeat and calling on security chiefs to serve the state alone. Earlier in the day, Yashar accused the prime minister of laying groundwork for baseless fraud claims, and the Elections Committee rejected a Likud request to extend voting hours.

That rhetoric matters because of what comes next. The vote was widely framed as a referendum on Netanyahu's leadership after the attacks of 7 October 2023 and the war that followed, and a week before it, Yair Lapid had said he did not trust the prime minister not to order a strike on Iran before polling day, as we reported at the time.

What happens next in Israeli coalition talks?

The final tally is expected by Friday and the official results are due on 4 November. President Isaac Herzog will then consult the elected parties and nominate the candidate most likely to command a majority. That person has up to 42 days to build a coalition. If nobody manages it, Netanyahu's government stays on as a caretaker and Israelis are sent back to the polls.

Al Jazeera said the largest bloc could try a minority government or a rotating premiership, and quoted the analyst Alon Pinkas saying either man would pay a political cost for turning to the Arab parties. For now the only certain outcome is a long wait, with Friday's count as the next real marker.

Published in The Outspoken Digest

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